Exhaustive outcomes and experimental probability
3 exam-style questions. Answers and the mark for each step are on the last page.
- Question 1
(a) A machine selects one of three symbols: a star, a circle or a square. The probability of a star is 0.28 and the probability of a circle is 0.47. What is the probability of a square?
- Question 2
The only possible outcomes of a game are win, draw and lose. The probabilities of win and draw are and .
(a) Find the probability of losing.
(b) The game is played 200 times. Find the expected number of losses.
- Question 3
A spinner can land on , , or . P() , P() , P() and P() .
(a) Work out P().
(b) The spinner is spun 200 times. Work out an estimate for the number of times it lands on .
Answers and marks
Question 1
(a) 0.25
- P1 Establishing or an equivalent valid method.
- A1 Correct answer: 0.25
Question 2
(a)
- M1 Exhaustive mutually exclusive outcomes have total probability 1.
- A1 Correct answer:
(b)
- M1 Multiply the loss probability by the number of games.
- A1 Correct answer:
Question 3
(a) 0.25
- P1 Setting the sum of the four probabilities equal to 1.
- P1 Solving to .
- A1 Correct answer: 0.25.
(b) 50
- B1 Correct answer: 50.