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Free probability and EV test

10 questions in 10 minutes: dice, cards, expected value, odds and a simple market.

10

Questions

10

Minutes

4

Skills

  • Give probabilities as a fraction or a decimal.
  • Money answers in pounds: −0.5 for a 50p loss.
  • Every answer is worked through at the end.

What the probability rounds test

  • Counting outcomes quickly, without listing them all.
  • Conditional probability: what changes once you know something.
  • Expected value: the fair price of a game.
  • Odds, bets and quoting a market around fair value.